The British newspaper The Guardian analyzes the current situation in Turkey, describing the country as being at a critical political and economic crossroads, about two years before the next presidential election. According to the analysis, the upcoming race will not only be determined by the vote, but also by how who is allowed to participate in politics and how much real space the opposition has to operate.

The focus of developments is the Republican People's Party (CHP), where judicial and political decisions on its internal structure are seen as attempts to weaken the opposition. The current CHP leader, Özgür Özel, has faced an institutional blow, according to the analysis, while former leader Kemal Kılıçdaroğlu has returned to political discussions after tensions within the party. Another key figure is the mayor of Istanbul, Ekrem İmamoğlu, who is reportedly facing a wide-ranging legal process that the opposition has described as politically motivated.

The analysis states that President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan has significantly strengthened executive power in recent years, moving to a centralized presidential system and increasing influence over the media and civil society. At the same time, the economic crisis remains a major pressure factor: high inflation, the weakening of the Turkish lira and uncertainty for investors are directly affecting support for the government.

The Guardian also points out that the next elections, although officially scheduled for 2028, could be held earlier and that current political developments could have a decisive effect beforehand. In conclusion, the analysis underlines that the main challenge for Turkey is not only the electoral process, but whether the opposition will actually have the opportunity to compete on an equal footing and whether the political system will remain open and competitive.