The war between the United States and Israel against Iran is not only affecting oil markets, but also food supplies throughout the Middle East.
According to Financial Times economic analyst Susanna Savage, disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz are creating serious problems for food supply chains. Many commercial ships are avoiding this strategic passage, which is hindering essential food imports for Gulf countries and increasing the risk of shortages and higher prices.
Much of the grain, packaged food and fresh produce that supplies the region passes through the Strait of Hormuz. According to Savage, the avoidance of this corridor by ships is increasing concerns about supply crises, as Gulf states are heavily dependent on imports.
One example is the United Arab Emirates, which imports about 90% of its food through Jebel Ali Port in Dubai. This port is a major logistics hub that supplies food to about 50 million people in four Gulf countries and other surrounding regions.
Meanwhile, in Iran, the situation is even more precarious. Although the country produces much of its own food, food inflation has already exceeded 100%, making it difficult for many families to afford basic goods. Analysts warn that attacks on Iran could damage food production and transportation infrastructure, worsening the situation if trade disruptions continue.
Iranian authorities have temporarily banned exports of food and agricultural products to guarantee the supply of the population with basic goods.
If disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz continue, countries like the United Arab Emirates, Saudi Arabia and Iran could tap into food reserves and redirect trade to other ports. However, alternative transportation is often more expensive and more limited.
The region's wealthier countries may be able to bear some of the additional costs, but the impact could be severe for the most vulnerable. Moreover, the UAE acts as a regional hub, re-exporting food to countries such as Yemen, Sudan and Somalia.
Analysts warn that if trade disruptions persist, these more fragile economies could quickly feel the effects. In Iran, where rising food prices have sparked recent protests, potential shortages and further price hikes could create even greater social tensions.
