Hopes for a ceasefire between the United States and Iran are growing, but remain fragile due to a deep lack of trust and wide differences between the parties. Negotiations being held with the mediation of Pakistan aim to end a conflict that has already shaken the balances in the Middle East and the global economy.

US President Donald Trump has signaled that he considers the war to be over, declaring victory and seeking a political exit at a time when he faces domestic challenges and a busy international agenda. On the other hand, Iran, while continuing to demonstrate military strength with missiles and drones, has suffered heavy damage and is taking time to regroup, using talks to strengthen its position.

One of the most sensitive issues in the negotiations is control of the Strait of Hormuz, a vital route for global energy trade. Iran has restricted shipping and imposed strict conditions, increasing pressure on the global economy. The full reopening of the waterway has become a key point for any deal.

Meanwhile, the situation has been further complicated by Israel's actions, which have escalated attacks in Lebanon against Hezbollah. This development risks undermining diplomatic efforts, as Iran and its allies consider it part of the same conflict, while the US and Israel disagree on this interpretation.

Although the US and Israel claim military success, the Iranian regime remains functional and capable of continuing operations, indicating that strategic objectives have not been fully achieved. In this context, even a temporary ceasefire is seen as an important step to avoid further escalation.

Meanwhile, global powers such as China and Russia are closely monitoring developments, while Gulf countries are reviewing their strategic relationships. For millions of civilians affected by the war, hope remains that these talks will lead to an end to the conflict and the restoration of stability in the region.

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